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City:Capital District, NY US
HomePage or other cool site:http://www.swa-gaming.org
Membership19years 290days ago.
Last Login2years 157days ago.
Last Move5years 175days ago.
TXWard is currently Offline!Send a mail to TXWard


Message header
Area/Game:Blue Max
Topic:Other
Subject:Re: Statistical Anomalies
Posted by: TXWard - 17years 122days ago.
Message text
flying_neko wrote:
TXWard wrote:
Not sure what your point was, but at least you made yourself sound smart.

I think most people would consider the 100% instant kill rate (now 15 for 15) to be a remarkable coincidence, but if you want to argue that it is expected behavior, be my guest.


I will put it differently. Our brain is made to recognise patterns. It will see patterns everywhere, even where there are none.

The only real statistical anomaly would be if someone were able to predict the outcome of die rolls in a game (or series of games) above and beyond what would be expected by statistics. Such as, for example: "the z-value of my die rolls in this specific future set of games will be lower than -3.5" (see http://www.youplay.it/play/forum_showmessage.asp?msgid=39538 for the z-value).

This has never happened to date.

Inability to do so means that the random number generator is good for all practical purposes.

I guess you feel you are the arbiter of what is an anomaly, but I maintain that you are among a minority who would consider this behavior a typical coincidence.

What does the random number generator have to do with this? Nobody has claimed it is from broken code or anything like it. It is merely an unusual occurrence.

We are now at 19 instant kills out of 20 total kills. Some are surely not so remarkable as there were several R's drawn, but many of them were single R's. I look forward to the final reults.

(42001 31313 10001 0)

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17years 123days TXWard [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
17years 123days flying_neko Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
17years 122days TXWard Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
 17years 122days flying_neko Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
  17years 122days TXWard Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
   17years 121days flying_neko Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
    17years 115days SkunkGuru Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
     17years 115days Calsir Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
      17years 115days BladeRunner Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
17years 122days ksnake Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
17years 122days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
17years 121days shermanguy Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
 17years 121days shermanguy Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
 17years 121days Calsir Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
  17years 121days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
   17years 121days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
    17years 121days BladeRunner Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
    17years 120days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
     17years 120days BladeRunner Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
      17years 119days GraysGhost Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
       17years 119days ksnake Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
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    17years 121days Calsir Re: [BM][OT] Statistical Anomalies
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