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City:Roma IT
Personal Data:Male, born: August 23 1962
HomePage or other cool site:http://https://www.facebook.com/GiovanniGugliantini
Membership23years 184days ago.
Last Login15days 20h ago.
Last Move15days 20h ago.
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Message header
Area/Game:Blue Max
Topic:Program code error
Subject:Re: numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
Posted by: gugliandalf - 21years 41days ago.
Message text
FourthApache wrote:
To better explain this let me use an example: I could gamble with you saying that I will throw a coin and if it scores an Head I will win. That way i have a 50% possibility to win and a 50% possibility to lose.
Now let's say that before playing I threw my coin a lot of times, until I had a complete serie of 5 Tails on a row. Do you think that now I should have more possibility to win against you getting an Head? Not at all, because the next throw will have again the usual 50/50 possibility


That's something that intrigues me.

Let's say you just threw 5 Tails, your chance for a Head keeps being 50%. Right?

But what if you consider next throw as #6 in the serie? Your chance of SIX tails is 1.5% (5 Tails have 3.1%), that would make a Head 98.5% likely.

Much depends on the way you look at it...

That for theory. In practice, YouPlayers have the additional fun of following ALL the same rnd generator. That means that, being the serie generated fair and statistically correct, much depends on wich item you pick in it. There a second, underground and unconscious fight about who takes the best pearls in the bead!

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21years 44days dakadave [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
21years 44days Dibbs Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
 21years 42days kduke Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
 21years 42days dakadave Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
  21years 42days Sabelkatten Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
   21years 42days FourthApache Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
    21years 42days Sabelkatten Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
    21years 42days FourthApache Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
    21years 41days gugliandalf Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
     21years 41days FourthApache Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
     21years 40days gugliandalf Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
     21years 40days morsac Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
 21years 41days Crash and Burn Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
  21years 41days dakadave Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
  21years 41days Regicide Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
  21years 41days Dibbs Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
   21years 40days Crash and Burn Re: [BM][BUG] numbers rolled-and fueselage for tail
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21years 40days Bramley Bomber Re: [BM][RULES] Turn Limit???
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21years 44days Swartz [BM][BUG] Old Stats
21years 44days dakadave Re: [BM][BUG] Old Stats
21years 44days Swartz Re: [BM][BUG] Old Stats
 21years 44days dakadave Re: [BM][BUG] Old Stats
  21years 44days lepres Re: [BM][BUG] Old Stats
21years 43days TnT Re: [BM][BUG] Old Stats
 21years 43days Swartz Re: [BM][BUG] Old Stats
 21years 41days Swartz Re: [BM][BUG] Old Stats
  21years 40days juggernaut Re: [BM][BUG] Old Stats
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